SHIELD
Module 03 · Global Disaster Early Warning

SHIELD

14-day planetary threat window. Real-time aggregation across seismic, wildfire, severe storm, flood, and volcanic systems. All data sourced from USGS, NASA, and NOAA. Find an error — we publish the correction.

SHIELD THREAT ASSESSMENT
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⬟ Seismic
M4.5+ · 14 days
▲ Wildfire
Active events
◉ Severe Storm
Active events
◈ Flood
Active events
◆ Volcanic
Active events
14-DAY WINDOW ACTIVE
Updated:
01
Seismic
USGS REAL-TIME FEED
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M4.5+ / 14 days
Significant Seismic Events · USGS Earthquake Hazards Program
Largest event Loading…
M6.0+ events
M7.0+ events
SOURCE: USGS Earthquake Hazards · 4.5_month GeoJSON v1.0
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Wildfire
NASA EONET LIVE FEED
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active fires
Open Wildfire Events · Past 14 Days · NASA EONET + FIRMS
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SOURCE: NASA EONET v3 · MODIS VIIRS Active Fire
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Severe Storm
NASA EONET LIVE FEED
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active events
Severe Storms · Tropical Systems · Past 14 Days
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SOURCE: NASA EONET v3 · NOAA NHC · WMO
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Flood
NASA EONET LIVE FEED
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active events
Active Flood Events · River Flooding · Extreme Precipitation
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SOURCE: NASA EONET v3 · GLOFAS · Copernicus EMS
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Volcanic
NASA EONET LIVE FEED
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active events
Active Volcanic Events · Eruptions · Elevated Alert Levels
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SOURCE: NASA EONET v3 · Smithsonian GVP · VAAC
14-Day Event Log
All hazard events · Sorted by severity then recency · Past 14 days
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Type Event Severity Location / Detail Age
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14-Day Event Calendar
Daily event density · Past 14 days · Color = intensity
Critical (M7+ / major event)
Elevated (M6+ / active threat)
Watch (active events)
Nominal
SEISMIC OUTLOOK
Pacific Ring of Fire accounts for ~90% of global seismic energy release. Elevated activity in any arc segment warrants monitoring of adjacent zones. Subduction zones (Japan, Chile, Cascadia, Alaska) carry maximum tsunami risk.
WILDFIRE OUTLOOK
Northern Hemisphere wildfire season onset within 4–6 weeks as snowpack recedes (April–May). Current Arctic melt season (active since March 20) accelerates drying conditions at high latitudes. Boreal forest zones at elevated risk.
STORM OUTLOOK
Atlantic hurricane pre-season: current SST anomaly (+0.9°C above average) suggests above-normal 2026 season probability. Season officially begins June 1. Western Pacific remains the world's most active tropical basin year-round.
FLOOD OUTLOOK
Bangladesh/Southeast Asia: Monsoon season onset in 8–10 weeks — peak flood risk window opening. Himalayan glacial melt accelerating with spring warming. High-elevation watershed flood risk elevated across Hindu Kush-Himalaya arc.
VOLCANIC OUTLOOK
Approximately 45 volcanoes are in a state of ongoing eruption globally at any time. Eruption column height determines aviation hazard radius. Major stratovolcano eruptions (VEI 5+) can induce short-term global cooling via stratospheric aerosol injection.
VYRION INDEX CONNECTION
Current VYRION Index: 41.2 ± 1.8 / 100. At this planetary health level, background frequency and intensity of all five hazard categories is statistically elevated versus the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline. SHIELD events are symptoms, not causes — root causes tracked in ATLAS.
VYRION · SHIELD · MODULE 03